Real EstateTurkiye

2024 Outlook: Predictions and Impact of Mortgage Interest Rates on the Real Estate Market

Current Trends in Mortgage Interest Rates and Their Implications for Buyers and Sellers

As we enter 2024, mortgage interest rates remain one of the most critical factors shaping the dynamics of the real estate market. The uncertainties in global markets, efforts towards economic recovery post-pandemic, and recent economic fluctuations have heightened the significance of these rates. In this article, we will delve into the forecasts for mortgage interest rates in 2024, discuss the potential impacts of these changes on the real estate market, and analyze the implications for both buyers and sellers.

Predictions for 2024 Interest Rates

Entering 2024, fluctuations in Turkiye’s economy and the Central Bank’s monetary policies stand among the fundamental factors influencing mortgage interest rates. Macroeconomic indicators such as economic growth, inflation rates, and exchange rates will also directly impact these rates.

According to experts’ forecasts, we may see a gradual increase in mortgage interest rates throughout 2024. This anticipated rise is attributed to global economic conditions, along with inflationary pressures within the domestic market and fluctuations in exchange rates. However, making precise predictions about the extent of these rate increases remains challenging due to their dependence on multiple variables.

Impact of Interest Rate Fluctuations on the Real Estate Market

Fluctuations in mortgage interest rates significantly impact the real estate market. An increase in interest rates raises the cost of obtaining a mortgage, thereby potentially altering the behavior of both buyers and sellers.

  1. Impact on Buyers: Higher interest rates increase the costs for individuals seeking mortgages. Consequently, many potential buyers may delay their decisions or opt for more affordable housing options, potentially leading to a decrease in housing demand.
  2. Impact on Sellers: Rising interest rates directly affect sellers as well. Reduced demand could prolong the time it takes to sell properties and put downward pressure on prices. Sellers may find themselves needing to lower their prices in response to decreased demand.
  3. Market Dynamics: Fluctuations in interest rates can induce a general slowdown in the real estate market. Decreased purchasing power and reduced demand may negatively impact the construction sector. The implementation of new projects might slow down, and investor appetite could diminish.
  4. Long-term Effects: Persistently high interest rates can lead to lasting changes in the real estate market. Particularly in major cities, we may observe increases in rental prices and a decline in homeownership rates. Additionally, stabilizing prices and restoring supply-demand balance in the housing market will require time.


2024 promises to be a pivotal year for mortgage interest rates. Potential increases in these rates will create various effects within the real estate market, necessitating the development of new strategies for both buyers and sellers alike. Monitoring the trajectory of interest rates closely and adapting to market conditions will be crucial for success in navigating this period.

Source: Emlakdergisi / Prepared by Irem Yildiz

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Back to top button